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Confidence Interval for Correlation Coefficient

Created:October 24, 2024
Last Updated:March 26, 2025

This calculator will compute the confidence interval for a correlation coefficient, given the raw data or calculated correlation coefficient and sample size.

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What is a Confidence Interval for Correlation Coefficient?

A confidence interval for a correlation coefficient provides a range of plausible values for the true population correlation, given the sample data. It helps quantify the uncertainty associated with the estimated correlation coefficient.

Formula

There are two common methods for calculating the standard error of a correlation coefficient:

Direct Method (typically used for hypothesis testing):

SEr=1r2n2 SE_r = \sqrt{\frac{1-r^2}{n-2}}

Where r is the correlation coefficient and n is the sample size.

Fisher's Z-transformation Method (used for confidence intervals):

First, transform r to z:

z=12ln(1+r1r) z = \frac{1}{2} \ln \left(\frac{1+r}{1-r}\right)

Then calculate the standard error of z:

SEz=1n3 SE_z = \frac{1}{\sqrt{n-3}}

Constructing the Confidence Interval (using Fisher's method):

The confidence interval is constructed using Fisher's z-transformation because it provides better statistical properties.

  1. Calculate the confidence interval for z:
  2. CIz=z±(zα/2SEz) CI_z = z \pm (z_{\alpha/2} \cdot SE_z)

    Where zα/2z_{\alpha/2} is the critical value from the standard normal distribution

  3. Transform back to correlation scale:
  4. CIr=tanh(CIz) CI_r = \tanh(CI_z)

    Where tanh is the hyperbolic tangent function

Note:

  • Fisher's z-transformation method is preferred for confidence intervals
  • The direct method is typically used for testing if a correlation differs from zero

Interpretation

A 95% confidence interval for the correlation coefficient means that if we repeated the sampling process many times and calculated the confidence interval each time, about 95% of these intervals would contain the true population correlation coefficient.

If the confidence interval does not include zero, we can conclude that there is a statistically significant correlation between the two variables at the chosen confidence level.

Verification

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